Epistemic Aspects of Representative Government

Publication Information

Authors: Goodin, Robert E and Spiekermann, Kai

Published in: European Political Science Review

Year: 2012

Citation: Goodin, Robert E and Spiekermann, Kai (2012) "Epistemic Aspects of Representative Government", European Political Science Review, 4(3), pp. 303–325.

The Federalist, justifying the Electoral College to elect the president, claimed that a small group of more informed individuals would make a better decision than the general mass. But the Condorcet Jury Theorem tells us that the more independent, better-than-random voters there are, the more likely it will be that the majority among them will be correct. The question thus arises as to how much better, on average, members of the smaller group would have to be to compensate for the epistemic costs of making decisions on that many fewer votes. This question is explored in the contexts of referendum democracy, delegate-style representative democracy, and trustee-style representative democracy.